The final round of the Ekstraklasa season on Saturday, May 23, 2026, will determine which of three clubs secures a historic second-place finish and a spot in the UEFA Champions League.
Lech Poznań has already clinched the championship title, leaving Górnik Zabrze, Jagiellonia Białystok, and Raków Częstochowa to battle for the runner-up position.
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Champions League Qualification at Stake
Poland receives a second Champions League qualification spot for the first time in history, thanks to its improved UEFA country ranking.
The runner-up will enter the second qualifying round via the league path and can guarantee a Europa League group stage spot by winning just one of three potential two-legged ties.
Statistical projections from Symuligi, based on Elo ratings, give Górnik Zabrze a 64 percent probability of finishing second, followed by Jagiellonia Białystok at 25 percent and Raków Częstochowa at 12 percent.
Górnik Zabrze currently holds 53 points and controls its destiny due to a superior head-to-head record against Jagiellonia.
A home victory over Radomiak Radom would secure the runner-up position.
Jagiellonia Białystok also has 53 points but must outperform Górnik in the final round, facing Zagłębie Lubin at home.
Raków Częstochowa sits at 52 points and needs a win against Arki Gdynia, combined with dropped points from both rivals.
If all three teams finish level on 53 points, Górnik claims second place, Raków third, and Jagiellonia fourth based on a three-way head-to-head tiebreaker.
