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Equifax: Longer Mortgages Rise as Rate Cut Hopes Fade Before BoE Decision

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British borrowers are facing intensifying financial pressures as hopes for interest rate cuts fade ahead of the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee decision on July 30, 2026, according to credit reference agency Equifax UK.

Equifax reported that 10 percent of new UK mortgages now carry repayment terms of 35 years or longer.

Borrowers are stretching loan durations to lower immediate monthly outgoings, resulting in higher overall interest costs over the life of the loans.

The central bank is broadly expected to maintain the base interest rate at 3.75 percent on Thursday.

Although June Consumer Prices Index inflation fell to 2.6 percent from 2.8 percent in May, analysts warn the slowdown will likely reverse in July following a 13 percent increase in the Ofgem energy price cap.

The Monetary Policy Committee previously voted 7-2 to hold the base rate at 3.75 percent during its June meeting, with two members voting for a 0.25 percentage point increase to 4 percent.

Prior to recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, markets had anticipated two rate reductions in 2026.

Growing Pressure on Homeowners

Paul Heywood, chief data and analytics officer at Equifax UK, highlighted the growing pressure on homeowners with variable rate mortgages.

"The door looks firmly shut on the prospect of rate cuts for the foreseeable future," said Heywood.

Heywood noted that households have displayed resilience despite facing tightening financial constraints across the market.

"Those on variable mortgage rates are unlikely to see any reduction in their monthly bills this year, while the rising possibility of rate hikes is adding another layer of uncertainty to households, which have so far proven resilient but are without doubt feeling the squeeze," said Heywood.

Industry experts advise property buyers and existing homeowners against waiting for lower interest rates in the current economic environment.

"Inflation ticking down is a reminder that in today's geopolitical climate, mortgage rates don't stay predictable for long," said Ben Thompson, director of home moving strategy at Mortgage Advice Bureau.

Thompson pointed out that weak domestic economic performance keeps further interest rate increases unlikely for now.

"Whether you're a first-time buyer or a remortgager coming off a cheaper fixed deal, it's worth exploring options sooner rather than waiting later to see what happens.

For both groups, locking in a rate you're comfortable with now is often a smarter move than waiting on the chance of a better one later," said Thompson.

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