The Old Farmer's Almanac has released its fall 2026 weather forecast for the United States, predicting a generally warm and dry season.
The forecast is influenced by a strong El Niño, which is expected to persist into early 2027, according to the National Weather Service.
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Most of the country will experience above-average temperatures, particularly in interior regions such as the Heartland, High Plains, Deep South, and Texas.
Summerlike warmth is expected to last well into October in these areas.
Texas and Oklahoma may see rainfall up to 4 inches above average.
Meanwhile, other parts of the country, including the Northeast, Pacific Coast, and the Atlantic Corridor, will see cooler and wetter conditions.
The Upper Midwest, Lower Lakes, and Desert Southwest are forecasted to have transitional weather.
These regions will start with a cooler September before warming in October, according to the almanac.
El Niño's Impact
Daniel Swain, a climate scientist with the University of California Agriculture and Natural Resources, highlighted the potential impacts of a strong El Niño.
"Some of California's wettest winters have occurred during some of the strongest El Niños," he said.
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Swain added that the interior southwest and southern tier of states could face "more intense and more frequent winter storms."
This aligns with NOAA's caution that stronger El Niño events can significantly tilt the odds toward expected seasonal outcomes.
