Carlos Alcaraz faces losing his world number 2 ATP ranking to Alexander Zverev if the German reaches the Wimbledon final starting June 29, 2026.
The Spanish tennis player remains sidelined due to a right wrist injury that has kept him out of competition since April 14, 2026.
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According to the latest rankings released on June 8, 2026, Jannik Sinner leads with 13,500 points.
Alcaraz holds second with 9,960 points, while Zverev is third with 7,305 points.
Zverev secured his first major title at Roland Garros by defeating Flavio Cobolli on June 7, 2026.
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Ranking Dynamics
Alcaraz will drop 1,800 points over the coming weeks after withdrawing from the ATP 500 Queen's Club and Wimbledon, where he won and placed second respectively last year.
Zverev only defends 375 points next month after a first-round exit at Wimbledon last year, alongside a semifinal run in Halle and a runner-up finish in Stuttgart.
While Alcaraz holds a 2,655-point lead over Zverev, that margin narrows to 855 points once the mandatory point deductions for Alcaraz are calculated.
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Zverev could overtake Alcaraz by reaching the Wimbledon semifinals if he wins the ATP 500 tournament in Halle, having already withdrawn from Stuttgart.